It seems that current conditions, i.e. poor stock market returns and company profits/survival under threat are hastening the long anticipated end of final salary schemes in the private sector.
I think this raises two issues: firstly, how should workers adapt and, secondly, why should the public sector be different?
To tackle the first, the answer is pretty simple. Workers will have to take on the burden of pension provision themselves. This is a pretty expensive business as a final salary scheme probably costs something like 255 of payroll and very few people are willing or able to commit that much to their long term wealth creation. Of course, misinformation in the media does not help; the BBC this morning said that the closure of final salary schemes would mean people being dependent on stock market investments. They could be, but not necessarily.
Final Salary Pension Schemes do not exist in a vacuum, they invest in exactly the same markets as any other investor, individual or not. The only difference with a final salary scheme is that it (or, more accurately, the employer) takes on the risk of success. If it fails to achieve the required rate of return, it simply asks the company to top it up, precisely why they have proved unpopular with company owners.
Because of this, FS schemes invest very conservatively and, because it assumes lower rates of return, this is very expensive. You can save yourself a lot of money if you assume that you will receive a high rate of return on your money but the risk of falling short is much higher.
So, as these schemes close, not much changes, it is just that individuals rather than shareholders become responsible and must allocate enough money to ensure a reasonable chance of success.
The issue of secure final salary schemes for state employees may become interesting, given the economic climate. Civil Servants and local government employees have fought very successfully to retain their FS schemes, arguing that the benefit helps to make up for their lower pay.
I am not sure the argument about pay was ever valid but as unemployment rises and the job security enjoyed by state employees becomes ever more valuable, it must surely carry even less weight. As the country piles up debt in an effort to save our banking system to save our economy, the eye watering deficits being built up in state pensions must start to look even more anachronistic, will they not.